Snow, historic cold possible beginning Saturday



After working through several weather forecasts Friday morning, it is difficult to stress enough how dangerous the next week could be for Central Texas, indeed the whole state.

Each time we look at forecasts for early next week produced by conservative, high-confidence meteorologists, it just gets worse. We’re simply not prepared for the kind of weather we’ll see Sunday evening through — well, the end of next week.

According to the National Weather Service’s most recent forecast, the high on Saturday will struggle to get above freezing. With the Arctic airmass already beginning to settle in, this means that we will likely see 80-plus hours of temperatures well below freezing, and that assumes we hit Saturday’s forecast high of 33.

Over night Monday and into Tuesday morning appears to be the coldest weather many of us have ever seen, and certinally not seen in decades. Even the most conservative forecasts show a low of 8-degrees and windchills of around -15. We’ve seen some forecasts that show a low of 0-degrees overnight Monday and a high on Tuesday of only 18-degrees.

Again, we cannot stress enough how dangerous the next several days could be. We will keep an eye on the weather and post here but urge readers to to do the same.

  • Sporadic power outages will be a possibility where we have significant amounts of ice build-up on powerlines and/or trees. We’ve already see these issues in Central Texas. Some power outages are also possible due to the extreme cold and high energy demand.
  • Pipes (including sprinkler systems) will be subject to bursting if not adequately insulated. Hypothermia may be a possibility for those exposed and not dressed accordingly, especially from Sunday through Tuesday. Residents should use the next couple of days to prepare before the coldest air arrives. Remember the 4 Ps: pipes, people, pets, and plants. Also, be aware of space heater dangers if not properly place/used.

Here is the most recent National Weather Service (usually a fairly conservative forecast) weather discussion:

Tonight — Patchy freezing drizzle after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 30. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Saturday — Patchy freezing drizzle before 1pm, then a slight chance of rain or freezing rain. Cloudy, with a high near 33. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Saturday Night — A slight chance of rain or freezing rain before 7pm, then a chance of rain, freezing rain, and sleet between 7pm and 1am, then a chance of snow and freezing rain after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 28. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Sunday — A chance of snow and freezing rain before 7am. Cloudy, with a high near 35. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Sunday Night — Snow likely, mainly after 1 am. Cloudy, with a low around 14. North wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Monday — Snow likely, mainly before 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 21. North northwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Monday Night — Partly cloudy, with a low around 8. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Tuesday — Mostly sunny, with a high near 30. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night — A chance of snow, freezing rain, and sleet after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Wednesday — A chance of rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Wednesday Night  — A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Thursday — A 20 percent chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 41.



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