Tropical Weather Outlook 8-31 – Texas Border Business


With the Labor Day weekend approaching, it is a good idea to keep an eye on the weather and be prepared for any circumstances. Image for illustration purposes.
With the Labor Day weekend approaching, it is a good idea to keep an eye on the weather and be prepared for any circumstances. Image for illustration purposes.
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Texas Border Business

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Wed Aug 31 2022

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

NOAA Graphic

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:

Data from a NOAA aircraft reconnaissance mission earlier today 

showed little change in organization of the area of low pressure 

located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. 

Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, 

additional gradual development of this system is expected and a 

tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of 

days.  The disturbance is forecast to move slowly 

west-northwestward, toward the adjacent waters of the northern 

Leeward Islands. Additional information on this system can be found 

in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 

pressure located just to the northeast of the Cabo Verde Islands 

have changed little since earlier today. Some gradual development is 

possible, and the system could become a short-lived tropical 

depression over the far eastern Atlantic during the next 

couple of days.  By late this week, environmental conditions are 

forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development. 

Regardless, the system could bring locally heavy rainfall to 

portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Thursday. 

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.

3. Central Subtropical Atlantic:

An area of low pressure is showing signs of organization over the 

central subtropical Atlantic about 850 miles west-southwest of the 

westernmost Azores.  Environmental conditions are expected to be 

conducive for development, and a tropical or subtropical depression 

is likely to form within the next day or so, while the system 

drifts generally eastward.  Additional information on this system 

can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 

Service. 

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service

can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 

KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Bucci/Pasch

Information Source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov



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